Cerro Porteño vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
CCP
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 0
MIR
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
CCP
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
CCP
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CCP
3 - 0
SAN
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 2
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LQE
3 - 1
TAC
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 1
SPT
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |