Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
4º
3º
12
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 41 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 34 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 33 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 33 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 30 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 23 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 1
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
SPT
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SPT
3 - 2
LQE
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
12O
1 - 3
SPT
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 0
SPT
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |