Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 4
CCP
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 1
CCP
29%
28%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
BOS
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
CCP
0 - 0
SPT
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
CCP
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 3
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
CCP
0 - 0
SPT
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
GEN
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 3
SPT
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SPT
2 - 2
AME
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |