Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
CCP
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CCP
0 - 4
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
LQE
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
GEN
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 3
SPT
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SPT
2 - 2
AME
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 1
SPT
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 2
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |