Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 3
CCP
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
35%
24%
42%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CCP
3 - 1
GEN
79%
14%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
CCP
0 - 0
AME
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
CCP
16%
24%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 2
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 2
LIB
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
LQE
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |