Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
CCP
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CCP
3 - 1
RPA
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 3
CCP
15%
23%
62%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 0
LQE
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LQE
1 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
7 - 0
LQE
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 1
12O
61%
24%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
LQE
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |