Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 5
CCP
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
RÑU
0 - 3
CCP
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
LQE
0 - 3
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
LQE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
LQE
1 - 2
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
LQE
0 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 0
LQE
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |