Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
12O
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
LAP
1 - 2
CCP
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 1
RÑU
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 0
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 5
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
LQE
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |