Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
4º
4º
11
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 41 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 36 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 34 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 29 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
3.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
CCP
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
ATP
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 0
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
TAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
TAC
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ATP
0 - 1
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |