Cerro Porteño vs Sport Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 1
CCP
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 2
CCP
39%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
3 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 4
OLI
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
SPC
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 3
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPC
64%
22%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |