Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
CCP
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 1
12O
59%
24%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
PAL
5 - 0
CCP
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
TAC
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
CCP
0 - 3
PAL
12%
25%
63%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
12O
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
AME
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
AME
58%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 2
AME
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |