Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 1
ZAM
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
CCP
18%
23%
58%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 1
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
CCP
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
AME
1 - 4
GUA
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
3 - 1
AME
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
AME
1 - 6
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |