Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 1
12O
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CCP
0 - 2
CRZ
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
CCP
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
CCP
7 - 0
DEP
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 2
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 3
AME
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AME
0 - 4
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |