Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 4
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 0
LQE
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 0
TOL
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AME
3 - 2
OLI
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 2
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 1
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
AME
3 - 4
LIB
31%
26%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |