Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 2
GUA
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
CCP
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
RÑU
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |