Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
RÑU
0 - 3
CCP
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 4
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
SPT
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 2
AME
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
TAC
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |