Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
2 - 3
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1991 |
OLI
3 - 0
CCP
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
1 - 2
AME
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
AME
4 - 4
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |