Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
CCP
5 - 3
COL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1980 |
CCP
1 - 0
OHI
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1980 |
AME
2 - 1
CCP
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
0 - 4
CAL
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1980 |
AME
2 - 1
COL
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1980 |
AME
1 - 4
OHI
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1980 |
AME
2 - 1
CCP
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
AME
2 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
AME
2 - 1
JWI
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |