Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Cerro Porteño vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
COB
0 - 2
CCP
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
CCP
1 - 1
COB
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1993 |
CRZ
2 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 2
CRZ
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1993 |
SAO
3 - 1
RIO
81%
13%
7%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |