Cerro Porteño vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
CCP
1 - 0
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
CCP
1 - 3
OLI
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
SAO
4 - 0
CCP
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1972 |
ATM
1 - 1
CCP
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATM
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
SAO
4 - 0
CCP
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1972 |
SAO
3 - 1
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ATM
2 - 2
SAO
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1971 |
SAO
4 - 1
BOT
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |