Cerro Porteño vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 2
CER
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 1
GAR
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
CCP
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
SFE
0 - 0
LLA
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
SFE
23%
27%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SFE
3 - 1
EQU
56%
26%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
SFE
2 - 0
QUI
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |