Cerro Porteño vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CCP
1 - 2
AME
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
SPO
1 - 1
CCP
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
CCP
3 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CCP
2 - 1
12O
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
JUN
2 - 0
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2000 |
SLO
4 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
SLO
2 - 0
JUN
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2000 |
CHA
0 - 0
SLO
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
UNI
1 - 1
SLO
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2000 |
SLO
1 - 0
RAC
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |