Cerro Porteño vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
69%
21%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 4
CCP
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
RÑU
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 2
TAC
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
RÑU
26%
26%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |