Cerro Porteño vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
CCP
33%
26%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 0
RÑU
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 0
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
CCP
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 4
DEP
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
LQE
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
RPA
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
RÑU
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLI
5 - 3
RPA
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |