Cerro Porteño vs Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
2º
19
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CCP
3 - 2
AME
45%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 3
AME
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 4
CCP
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RES
1 - 4
SPT
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
RES
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 0
RES
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
RES
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
GUA
36%
28%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |