Cerro Porteño vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
CCP
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CCP
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1974 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1974 |
OLI
0 - 2
PEÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CCP
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |