Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 4-1
Cerro Porteño vs La Paz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
CCP
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 1
TAC
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
12O
0 - 1
CCP
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CCP
0 - 3
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
La Paz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LAP
2 - 2
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
LAP
1 - 5
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
OPE
0 - 0
LAP
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
LAP
2 - 3
RPO
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
LAP
1 - 0
AUR
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |