Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 2
JLM
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
CCP
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
CCP
0 - 4
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAL
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 1
GRE
65%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 5
PAL
21%
25%
53%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |