Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
CCP
4 - 3
OLI
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
CCP
2 - 1
BSC
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1998 |
BSC
1 - 0
CCP
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
CCP
3 - 0
PEÑ
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAO
97%
3%
1%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
6%
15%
79%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
AMF
1 - 1
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
PAL
2 - 1
VAS
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |