Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-1
Cerro Porteño vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAC
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
0 - 0
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
CCP
3 - 0
SBO
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
1 - 1
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
BOC
0 - 0
OPE
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
RIV
3 - 1
OPE
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
2 - 1
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |