Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
2º
31
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
SPT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SET
1 - 1
CCP
5%
13%
82%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
CCP
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
JLM
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
FLA
19%
22%
60%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |