Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
CCP
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 0
SPO
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CCP
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 0
DEP
69%
18%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 2
AME
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
OLI
32%
28%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
40%
25%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |