Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 4
BOC
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 0
CCP
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 1
RÑU
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
CCP
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 1
OLI
22%
26%
53%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |