Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
2 - 0
OPE
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAC
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
0 - 0
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
CCP
3 - 0
SBO
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1991 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAC
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
CAC
1 - 1
OLI
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1991 |
OLI
3 - 3
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 3
OLI
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
ACM
3 - 0
OLI
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |