Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
MIL
0 - 2
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
AME
2 - 0
CCP
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
3 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
0 - 0
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
0 - 0
MIL
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1988 |
RIV
4 - 0
OLI
72%
17%
12%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1988 |
OLI
2 - 0
RIV
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
BSC
3 - 2
OLI
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
NAC
4 - 0
OLI
7%
34%
59%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1987 |
AME
2 - 2
OLI
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |