Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 6-2
Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 1
CCP
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
CCP
3 - 0
COR
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
OLI
2 - 2
CCP
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
COR
8 - 2
CCP
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
CCP
2 - 5
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 3
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
NAC
1 - 0
BVS
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
NAC
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |