Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
28.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
DEF
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
2 - 3
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
AME
1 - 3
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 3
DEF
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |