Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
AUR
2 - 2
CCP
47%
21%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
SAN
9 - 1
CCP
73%
15%
13%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1962 |
CCP
3 - 2
MUN
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 21 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
MUN
2 - 1
CCP
31%
21%
48%
|
75 | 20 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUR
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1962 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1962 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1962 |
RAC
2 - 2
NAC
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |