Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
2º
32
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 1
CCP
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LQE
2 - 2
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
SPT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPT
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
JLM
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |