Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
CCP
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 0
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 2
CCP
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
CCP
4 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
RPA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAC
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |