Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 4
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 1
CSL
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SFE
0 - 0
CCP
50%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
GEN
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 4
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
RPA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
LIB
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
AME
4 - 3
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |