Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
CCP
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
CCP
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
CER
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 4
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |