Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 2
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 1
IND
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 0
LQE
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
CCP
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 2
CCP
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPC
64%
22%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
ONC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAC
27%
25%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AME
2 - 5
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |