Cerro Porteño vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
IND
0 - 3
CCP
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
CCP
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 3
CCP
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
MON
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
APC
1 - 0
MON
27%
29%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
MON
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |