Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
2º
48
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LQE
2 - 2
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
SPT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SET
1 - 1
CCP
5%
13%
82%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
CCP
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
SPT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
LIB
23%
26%
52%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
LIB
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 0
JLM
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |