Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 6
CCP
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
CCP
4 - 1
SFE
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
CCP
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 1
CCP
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
DEP
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 0
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 5
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |