Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CCP
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 1
CCP
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 1
LQE
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 5
CCP
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LIB
7 - 0
SPT
71%
20%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
LIB
27%
29%
44%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |