Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-3
Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
REC
0 - 1
CCP
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
CCP
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
CCP
2 - 3
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
OLI
0 - 3
LIB
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 2
SPC
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
12O
1 - 1
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 0
SPO
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |