Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
NOB
3 - 2
CCP
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1975 |
CCP
1 - 3
CEN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1975 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1975 |
CCP
0 - 1
NOB
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1975 |
CEN
2 - 1
CCP
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1977 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAL
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1977 |
CAL
0 - 0
LIB
60%
19%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1977 |
LIB
0 - 1
BOC
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 0
LIB
82%
11%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
LIB
2 - 1
EVE
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |