Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-1
Cerro Porteño vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
CCP
4 - 1
SPC
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
CCP
1 - 0
SPC
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
CCP
2 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2003 |
SPO
0 - 4
CCP
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
IND
2 - 0
QUI
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
IND
2 - 0
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
IND
3 - 0
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
4 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
IND
2 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |